More than two decades after playing decisive roles in the political realignments that shaped Kenya’s leadership, history seems to be repeating itself. This time, impeached former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua is emerging as the man who could tilt the scales in the 2027 presidential race.
Though he has publicly stated that he intends to vie, Gachagua’s political moves suggest his central mission is to block President William Ruto from securing a second term. In past remarks, he has emphasized that his primary objective is to deny Ruto the opportunity to return to State House. This makes his choice of allies critical in shaping the opposition’s strength.
At the center of speculation are two names: former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i and Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka. Both present contrasting political qualities and challenges. Matiang’i, who once commanded immense influence in the security sector, is admired for his technocratic efficiency but carries the baggage of being closely associated with the Uhuru Kenyatta era. Kalonzo, on the other hand, has decades of political experience and a well-established national network, yet critics argue he lacks the firepower to galvanize Kenya’s youthful electorate.
For Gachagua, the calculus is not just about who has the most attractive qualities, but who carries the least baggage. Matiang’i could appeal to reform-minded Kenyans seeking competence, while Kalonzo could unite traditional opposition strongholds and offer a softer, reconciliatory brand of politics.
As 2027 approaches, Gachagua’s eventual choice whether to back Matiang’i, Kalonzo, or himself will be pivotal. In a race where alliances are everything, his decision could determine whether President Ruto withstands the storm or is swept aside by a united opposition front.
