The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) has been a dominant force in Kenyan politics for over a decade, largely because of its founder, Raila Odinga. However, as the country edges closer to the 2027 General Election and Odinga’s sudden death, questions are mounting about the party’s survival beyond his leadership.
Kenyan political history paints a grim picture for parties whose founders exit the stage. Movements such as KANU after Moi, and Jubilee after Uhuru Kenyatta, have struggled to maintain relevance once their charismatic leaders left. ODM could face a similar fate if it fails to reinvent itself.
Raila Odinga’s loyal following remains ODM’s strongest asset, but without a clear succession plan, internal divisions could emerge. The younger generation of leaders like Hassan Joho, Wycliffe Oparanya, and Opiyo Wandayi will have to step up and redefine the party’s identity to appeal to a new voter base.
ODM’s survival will depend on its ability to transform from a personality-driven movement into an institution guided by strong ideology and inclusive leadership. If it fails to adapt, the party risks becoming another shell echoing Kenya’s long list of once-powerful but now-forgotten political outfits.
