As President William Ruto eyes re-election in 2027, the question of his running mate has sparked intense debate. With his grip on the vote-rich Mt Kenya region appearing to weaken, political analysts suggest that Ruto may need to broaden his coalition.
Under the broad-based government agreement with ODM, securing the party’s backing could hinge on offering a deputy presidential candidate. Following the death of ODM leader Raila Odinga, the party, led by Oburu Oginga, has emphasized that any pre-election negotiation must not fall below the deputy president level. “We should not take less than that,” Oburu stated, signaling ODM’s insistence on influence in any coalition.
Potential running mates for Ruto include Treasury CS John Mbadi, Cooperatives CS Wycliffe Oparanya, Mining CS Hassan Joho, and Homa Bay Governor Gladys Wanga. Analysts argue that regional balance is critical, suggesting that a running mate from Luoland or Western Kenya, such as Joho, Oparanya, or Musalia Mudavadi, could offset regional concentration in Mt Kenya.
Some insiders believe Ruto may favor John Mbadi, citing his public acknowledgment during Raila Odinga’s burial in Bondo. Meanwhile, ODM leaders like Abudlswamad Nassir emphasize that any candidate must be approved through party structures, reflecting careful internal deliberation.
The discussion has sparked opposition in Mt Kenya East, where leaders insist the deputy president position should remain in the region. MPs, including Mugambi Rindikiri and Mpuru Aburi, warned against giving the seat to ODM, arguing that the region has historically supported other leaders and now deserves representation at the top.
Conversely, Western Kenya MPs have endorsed Oparanya, calling for the region to claim its share of top leadership positions. However, Oparanya has expressed contentment with his current Cabinet role and appears hesitant to pursue the deputy presidency.
As 2027 approaches, President Ruto faces a delicate balancing act—retaining Kindiki may secure Mt Kenya support, while offering the post to ODM could strengthen a national coalition. The decision will be critical in shaping Kenya’s political landscape ahead of the next general election.
