The United Democratic Alliance (UDA) remains the most popular political party in Kenya, according to a new poll by Trends and Insights for Africa (TIFA).
The survey places UDA at the top with 16% support nationwide, edging out the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), which registered 13%, and the Democratic Congress Party (DCP) with 9%. Wiper Democratic Movement attracted 4%, while the Azimio coalition recorded 5%.
Other parties showed minimal traction, including Kenya Kwanza Alliance and Jubilee at 3% each, Ford-Kenya and DAP-Kenya at 1%, RTA at 2%, while a collection of minor parties accounted for 2%.
However, the poll reveals a striking reality: 31% of Kenyans do not feel aligned to any political party. A further 10% remain undecided. Combined, this means four in ten Kenyans are currently outside party affiliations, the highest proportion recorded since the reintroduction of multiparty democracy in the 1990s.
TIFA notes that while UDA enjoys the lead, its support represents only about half the number of Kenyans who have distanced themselves from partisan politics. This trend suggests widespread voter disengagement and signals an uphill task for parties seeking to consolidate support before the 2027 General Election.
Interestingly, when considering UDA, ODM, and Ford-Kenya together—parties closely tied to the ruling coalition—their collective support stands at 30%, still less than one-third of the electorate. This indicates that while UDA may dominate individual rankings, the ruling coalition’s overall reach remains limited.
Political analysts believe the upcoming by-elections in November will provide an early test of how these preferences might translate into actual votes. Whether unaligned Kenyans will shift their stance or maintain their distance will be a key factor shaping the political landscape ahead of 2027.
