A supercomputer simulation has delivered its verdict on the 2025/26 Premier League season and it’s not good news for Arsenal fans. With the new campaign set to begin on the weekend of August 16–17, anticipation is building, and the latest data-backed projection suggests familiar heartbreak for the Gunners and a triumphant return to the top for Manchester City.
Despite ending the previous season without a trophy, Manchester City are tipped to reclaim their crown, finishing top of the table with 92 points. Arsenal are predicted to once again fall just short, ending in second place for a fourth consecutive season with 88 points. The result highlights a recurring trend for Mikel Arteta’s side, who continue to improve yet can’t quite leap over the final hurdle.
City’s resurgence is expected to be led by Erling Haaland, projected to score a staggering 36 goals in 38 matches a return to form that could prove decisive. Backed by their attacking prowess and tactical precision, Pep Guardiola’s side look ready to re-establish their dominance in English football.
Arsenal, meanwhile, are expected to make minor strides forward following a strong summer transfer window, including the acquisition of Swedish striker Victor Gyokeres. However, the persistent theme of “so close, yet so far” remains, likely testing the patience of fans eager for a first league title since 2004.
Liverpool, under new manager Arne Slot, are forecast to finish third with 85 points, despite massive investment in the transfer market. The Reds are anticipated to struggle for consistency, potentially falling behind in the title race against more settled rivals. Chelsea are expected to round out the top four with 79 points, while Manchester United now guided by Rúben Amorim are projected to finish fifth, signaling progress in their rebuilding phase.
Elsewhere, Aston Villa, Tottenham, and Newcastle are tipped to complete the top eight. At the bottom end of the table, newly promoted Burnley, Sunderland, and Leeds United are all predicted to be relegated, with Leeds’ drop particularly striking after their Championship-winning campaign.
While these predictions are speculative, they offer a fascinating glimpse into the potential storylines of the upcoming season one that may bring glory for City and more disappointment for Arsenal.
