Max Verstappen’s future at Red Bull is under increasing scrutiny amid reports that he is in advanced discussions with Mercedes ahead of the British Grand Prix. Talks have reportedly intensified, with speculation mounting that a sensational switch could be on the horizon for the four-time world champion.
It is believed that the initial approach to Mercedes came from Verstappen’s own camp, signaling genuine interest in exploring a departure from Red Bull. The Mercedes team has shown willingness to engage in discussions, although a final decision from the board has yet to be made. While no formal confirmation has come from either team, the momentum behind the rumour has grown significantly.
The potential move comes during a period of instability at Red Bull, both on and off the track. Verstappen remains under contract until 2028, but there are reportedly performance-related clauses that could allow him to exit the deal prematurely. One such clause may permit a departure if he falls below a certain championship position believed to be second or third by the summer break. Currently sitting third in the standings and just nine points clear of fourth, Verstappen is dangerously close to triggering such a condition following a first-lap crash in Austria.
Despite public statements dismissing the speculation as noise, Red Bull’s management appears increasingly on edge. With the team developing its own power units for the upcoming regulation overhaul in 2026, there is uncertainty about their competitiveness. In contrast, Mercedes is believed to be ahead in preparing for the changes and could offer a more stable and competitive platform going forward.
This scenario draws parallels to Mercedes’ successful pursuit of Lewis Hamilton in 2012, ahead of major engine rule changes. That move paid off handsomely, as Hamilton went on to win six world titles with the team during a dominant period in Formula 1. The precedent suggests Mercedes may again be positioning itself to capitalize on upcoming regulation shifts by securing a proven champion.
If Verstappen does make the switch, it would most likely come at the expense of George Russell, who currently partners with Kimi Antonelli for the 2025 season. However, neither driver has a confirmed contract for next year, leaving the door open for significant reshuffling.
Ultimately, the decision could hinge on Verstappen’s confidence in Red Bull’s ability to remain at the front of the grid. With performance clauses offering a potential exit and rival teams making strategic plays, the next few weeks could prove pivotal in shaping the F1 landscape for years to come.
