SpaceX founder Elon Musk has set his sights on sending an uncrewed Starship spacecraft to Mars by the end of 2026, despite recent test-flight setbacks. In a video posted by SpaceX on Thursday, Musk outlined an ambitious roadmap for the Starship program, reaffirming his long-term vision of making humanity a multiplanetary species.
The timeline comes just two days after the latest Starship prototype spun out of control and disintegrated mid-flight during its ninth test mission. While the spacecraft failed to meet key objectives, Musk dismissed the failure as a valuable learning experience, noting it yielded “a lot of good data to review.”
The targeted 2026 mission would align with a rare orbital window that occurs every two years, when Earth and Mars are closest. This alignment allows for a relatively short journey time between seven and nine months. However, Musk admitted the plan hinges on overcoming major technical challenges, particularly in-orbit refueling, a critical step for deep-space travel.
Musk gave the mission a 50-50 chance of launching on time. Should the spacecraft not be ready, SpaceX would delay the Mars mission until the next viable launch window in 2028.
The first Starship to Mars will carry no humans, but rather robotic passengers modeled after Tesla’s Optimus humanoid robots. Musk said he hopes to launch human missions by the second or third trip and ultimately deploy 1,000 to 2,000 ships every two years to establish a permanent settlement on the red planet.
NASA has also partnered with SpaceX to return astronauts to the Moon by 2027 using Starship, with an eye toward Mars missions in the 2030s. However, Musk continues to push for faster timelines, even though earlier predictions of crewed Mars missions by 2024 have not materialized.
Despite multiple high-profile failures, Musk remains undeterred, promising a quicker pace for upcoming test flights. His bold Mars timeline may be optimistic, but it underscores his enduring commitment to revolutionizing space travel and colonizing Mars.