Hamas, once the dominant force in Gaza, is fighting for survival as Israeli military pressure mounts, rebellious local clans gain influence, and support from its long-time ally Iran becomes uncertain. The militant group, now operating without centralized command, is battling internal dissent and a crumbling infrastructure.
According to sources close to Hamas and international diplomats, the group’s grip on Gaza has weakened significantly. With most of its top commanders killed, its tunnel networks destroyed, and over 20,000 fighters estimated dead, Hamas is relying on young, inexperienced recruits and guerrilla-style tactics.
Local clans, emboldened by Israeli backing, have started challenging Hamas authority. A key figure is Yasser Abu Shabab, a Bedouin leader in Rafah, accused by Hamas of collaborating with Israel and leading efforts to establish a rival administration. Despite assassination attempts, Abu Shabab remains active in Israeli-controlled territory and has denied any cooperation with Israel, stating his group only escorts humanitarian aid and protects against looters.
The humanitarian crisis in Gaza has intensified public criticism of Hamas. The group, now desperate for a ceasefire, reportedly sees a truce as an opportunity to suppress dissent and reassert control over aid distribution. However, Israel’s conditions particularly the exile of Hamas leaders from Gaza are viewed by the group as an unacceptable surrender.
The uncertainty surrounding Iran’s future support adds to Hamas’ woes. Israel’s targeted killing of Saeed Izadi, a key Revolutionary Guard official responsible for coordination with Hamas, may disrupt the flow of military expertise and funding. Although Hamas publicly maintains confidence in Iran’s continued backing, insiders acknowledge potential disruptions in support and strategy.
As international negotiations continue, Hamas appears increasingly focused on survival both militarily and politically. While it still manages sporadic attacks, such as the killing of seven Israeli soldiers last week, its long-term viability remains in question. Unless a ceasefire is reached, analysts warn Hamas risks being sidelined from any future governing arrangements in Gaza.
